Mon 15 Aug 2011
After fizzing away in the Atlantic 2-days ago, this system has somehow reappeared out of oblivion! Interesting. The bad thing is that the course has not changed. 🙁
Seems like on a direct course for Jamaica & Cayman and most of the computer models seem to be in consensus. It may not develop into a Hurricane, but at this stage its probably safe to say that we should expect lots of rain sometime in the next 3-days or so.
The US National Hurricane center gives it a 10% chance to develop into a tropical depression, but by looking at the satellite pictures below, my uneducated meteorological guess would put the odds higher than that. What do you think? The system is currently east of the lesser antillies, approaching St-Lucia and the likes.
Stay tuned!
As of tuesday evening (aug 16) computer models all agree it will pass a few hundred miles south of Cayman.
Hoping it won’t materialize into something serious.
Did you prepare your emergency kit for hurricane season yet ?
Good luck !
Yves
@Yves
As of now, it looks like all we will get is a lot of rain in 1-2 days. It still has not formed into anything more than a mass of cloud. Great news. However, there are 2-3 systems in the middle of the Atlantic we need to keep our eye on.