With Ernesto barely gone, we now have another system to deal with.  Still unnamed, but likely to be called “Florence” in the next day or so.  Already, tropical storm watches have been issued for many of the Lesser Antilles (Dominica, St.Lucia, Barbados, etc)

Its quite obvious that this will now come into the Caribbean basin. Once there, who knows what will happen.  One thing for sure (or almost for sure) is that it will gather strength.  The reason being is that these systems “feed” on warm water, and water is much warmer in the Caribbean than in the open Atlantic.

Will probably post another update on Sunday ; by then we should have a much better fix about where its going.